Was The 2020 Election Stolen? PART II
- Jan 20, 2025
- 12 min read
2024 vs. 2020 exhibited stark differences that not only led to the election of Donald Trump but also further demonstrated the 2020 election fraud. Thanks to a secure election process in which more people trusted in-person voting rather than sending in a large number of mail-in ballots, the reported numbers more accurately reflected the true votes of the American people. This was due to new policies, including the enactment of mail-voting restrictions in 19 states.
Alabama criminalized certain forms of assistance with absentee ballot applications and ballot collection, a tactic widely used in 2020 to increase Democratic votes by canvassing door to door. Arizona shortened the cure periods for signature issues on mail ballots. Florida imposed stricter ID requirements and limited drop box access and availability. This led to observed drops in mail voting. Georgia added identification requirements for mail ballot requests and returns, limited the number of available drop box locations, and shortened the submission windows. Iowa also shortened the application and return windows. North Carolina required a photo ID for mail voting, added notary-witness requirements and a copy of the ID, mandated receipt by Election Day with no postmark grace, which was abused in 2020, and shortened cure periods. Ohio shortened windows and imposed other administrative hurdles. Texas tightened its rules under S.B. 1, including application requirements and limits. Other states, including Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, and Tennessee, imposed restrictions on drop boxes, ballot returns, and assistance.
Of the states that flipped from Biden to Trump in 2024 (Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Georgia, and Pennsylvania), two were on the list of election law changes. Arizona and Georgia are also among the most controversial states in the context of election fraud allegations. Georgia, especially, because of the duplicitous recounts, further complicated by the shady senatorial race. Both Wisconsin and Michigan were also among the jurisdictions in which investigators identified fraudulent voter addresses. At least one voter in particular was identified as a current resident of a Michigan prison. Thankfully, ballot watchers and investigators on the ground helped monitor the 2024 election and the new election laws to ensure that it was truly a fair and free election. Unlike 2020, November 4th, 2024, was a quiet night, with results confirmed early, as has been the case for every election except 2020.
What is particularly revealing about the 2020 fraud is that the 2024 numbers confirm the statistical fallacy of the 2020 election. To rehash my previous article on this topic, in the 2020 election, Biden “won” 81 million votes to President Donald Trump’s 74 million. In 2012, voter turnout was 61.8% (129 million voters); in 2016, 61.4% (137 million voters); and in 2020, 66.8% (155 million voters), according to the United States Census Bureau. This means that 26 million more people voted in 2020 than in 2012. The current vote margin between Biden and Trump is approximately 9-10%. Splitting the 26 million between Biden and Trump, allocating Biden 10% more, we estimate roughly 13.5 million votes for Biden and 12.5 million for Trump.
Now, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Joe Biden won 520 counties, and President Donald Trump won 2,564 counties. In 2012, Barack Obama won 689 counties, the lowest in history for a successful presidential candidate. Now Joe Biden holds that record. Obama’s victory in 2012 gave him almost 66 million votes. That is also 3 million fewer votes than he won in 2008, mind you. This means that Biden won only about 75% of Obama’s counties in the 2012 election; therefore, we will reduce Biden's 2020 base vote to about 49.5 million, 75% of Obama’s 2012 base. Add in this election’s increase in voters, and that is only 63 million votes for Biden, give or take. Even buffering an extra 10 million votes into the equation in order to equalize this into the number of registered voters prior to the 2020 voting season, it still does not match Trump’s number, although you might have an argument for Electoral College votes.
I will tell you something else about this equation. After the election, I first wrote out this equation based on the numbers I had available to me at that time. They were not 100% accurate yet because many counties had not yet been finalized, and some of the total voter counts from previous years were incorrect in my original source. For example, I had calculated that 47.5 million more people voted in 2020 than in 2012. This led me to split those 25/22 million votes between Biden and Trump. I also initially assigned Biden only 55% of Obama’s total votes because I had fewer counties for him at the time. However, after going through more thorough research on this equation for my book and finding the most accurate numbers available, I found that the final result of 63 million was precisely the same as my original calculation, even though the total vote(er) and county win numbers changed. This is more anecdotal, but a bit eerie for me that it would still add up to 63 million.
Now I am sure you might be thinking that this same scenario occurred in 2012 between Obama and Mitt Romney, as well as that not all counties have the same number of residents. This is true, but let us break it down for comparison.
Romney won 2,449 counties compared with Obama’s 694. He won because those counties had more residents and therefore allocated more Electoral College votes. But consider this: the popular vote breakdown between Obama and Romney was 66 million votes to 61 million votes. That is a 5-million-vote difference, making the election appear closer from a citizen standpoint than from an Electoral College standpoint. Compare that to 2020, when Biden got 25% fewer counties than Obama but somehow had a lead over Trump of 7 million.
Considering that Biden got the most votes in history alongside Trump, who got the most votes as a sitting president, it is hard to believe that the numbers are this screwed. If 2020 was closer to 50/50 like it was in 2016 when Hilary Clinton got 66 million to Trump’s 63 million, then it might be more believable. But as it stands, it appears that they overplayed their hand.
Even the comparison to 2016 does not hold, as Trump won more counties (2,626) but lost the popular vote. Clinton basically won most of the coastal states where most of the population lives. However, the number of people who left during the great exodus from California and New York over the years suggests that more coastal voters now reside in the Midwest. Many Californians moved to Arizona and Texas, which is probably why Arizona flipped. However, consider that in 2020, Trump had 62 fewer counties than he won in 2016. And yet his votes increased by 11 million.
The total voter turnout increased by 18 million in 2020 from 2016. The average voter turnout increased from 1932 to 2016 by about 4.6 million. If the voter turnout in 2020 is accurate, the only comparable elections would be 1952, 1992, and 2004.
In 1952, voter turnout was 12.7 million, and Dwight D. Eisenhower was elected as a Republican candidate by a landslide after a long reign of Democratic presidents following WWII.
The 1992 election had a 13 million voter turnout increase that gave Bill Clinton the win, partly because the previous election in 1988 for George HW Bush had a negative voter turnout and partly because Bush’s popularity had waned due to the ongoing recession and his perceived apathy to the hardships it was causing. Candidate Ross Perot splitting the Republican party vote did not help either.
Finally, in 2004, George W. Bush won again with a 16.7 million voter turnout increase because of his response to the tragedy of 9/11. A patriotic awakening had occurred, and, as history shows, “wartime” presidents win re-election. I guess the global pandemic did not count as a “wartime” for Trump.
It is worth noting that although 2004 is close to the 2020 increase, 1996 saw a major decrease of 8.2 million during Clinton’s second term. Given an average increase of 4.6 million, it is reasonable to expect significant catching up to do. That is not to say that increases like 2020 do not occur; however, statistically, it is a 1-in-8 chance that they do. The question is whether the events surrounding the 2020 election were significant enough to increase voter turnout, as in other elections.
Something else that I found interesting is that in 2008, Barack Obama’s win came with significant support, and his campaign for “change” certainly turned non-voters into voters. However, he increased voter turnout by only 9 million. This is high, but I find it notable because George W. Bush’s 2000 election against Al Gore also increased voter turnout by 9 million. Then, while Bush’s voter turnout increased significantly in his second term, Obama’s actually decreased by 2 million. The only Republican decrease in voter turnout came from Bush Sr. The remaining decreases since 1932 were attributable to Democrats.
Now, let us assume for a second that 2020’s voter turnout numbers are false. If we subtract Trump’s 74 million votes from 2016’s 137 million votes, we end up with 63 million. There is that 63 again. If we assume that Biden received only 63 million based on my equation, then the 4.6 million increase in average voter turnout would account for the votes of other presidential candidates. If we assign it the high average of 9 million, as with Obama and Bush, Biden still does not have enough votes to win, especially given the swing states Trump needed.
After all is said and done, these numbers lead to two possibilities. First, Trump was so hated that voters came out of the woodwork to vote against him; this was combined with voters being so tired of the Left’s bs that they came out to vote for Trump in massive numbers. This is possible but statistically unlikely, as I have pointed out, especially given that the major outcry for and against Obama could not even produce such numbers. Possibility two is that the system was so overwhelmed by election fraud that the votes were inflated to an implausible number.
It is true that 2016 is an example in which counties and the popular vote do not appear to count. However, popularity might be a façade in the case of Joe Biden. Although he became the most-voted-for president in history with 81 million votes, he quickly fell below a 35% approval rating in his first year. This is unheard of. The average approval rating is 52.7%. Is this buyer’s remorse or more symbolic of fake votes? If not the latter, then we are back to my argument from my first article that the media are guilty of election tampering by controlling information to influence and manipulate the election outcome.
That said, the popular vote for Biden does come across as somewhat odd, even hard to believe. This is not because of who Biden is or what his policies are, but rather the simple fact that a large number of people attended Trump’s rallies, whereas hardly anyone attended Biden’s. The enthusiasm for Trump would attract between 8,000 and 20,000 people per rally, most of whom were locals from the rally site.
Joe Biden, on the other hand, only had a couple of hundred at his. At Biden’s largest rally in Atlanta, he only had 771 in attendance. And we are supposed to believe that Biden was the most popular president in history? Also, consider that Trump’s votes went up after his first term from 63 million to 74 million, whereas Obama, on the other hand, went down from 69.5 million votes for his first term to 66 million votes for his second. The share of votes from black men for Trump increased to 20%, and among Latino voters it rose to 34%, a significant increase from 2016. Joe Biden must really be exceptional to beat those odds.
There is something else that does not add up. According to election statistics, the number of registered voters increased from 153 million in 2018 to 168 million in 2020. The United States Census Bureau reported that 67% of eligible citizens voted, and 73% were registered to vote. This means that 8% of the total citizens registered to vote did not vote in the 2020 election, representing approximately 13 million. These 13 million would easily make up for the extra votes that could have stolen the election.
Secondly, they claim that only 4% of registered voters did not vote, which is 552,500 votes. I do not know where they got their math, but 4% of 168 million votes is almost 7 million. Their calculation would be .3%. We will just call that a typo for now.
After reviewing all these numbers, I finally noticed a major error. To quote the United States Census Bureau, “155 million people turned out for the 2020 presidential election.” If we subtract Trump’s 74 million from that, we get 81 million votes for Biden. Ok, that makes sense. Or does it? While the math there is all well and good, it does not factor in the 3 million votes for other candidates. Is that another typo, or did I just catch the United States Census Bureau in a lie? Obviously, I cannot make any claims against them, but their numbers need some explaining. If this is a lie, they did not attempt to conceal it. Had they reported more than 155 million in their statement, they could have easily explained it away with other candidates' votes. The fact that this was missed is either incompetence or malicious behavior. I will leave that up to the reader to decide.
Now that we've taken a second look at these numbers, let's compare them with what happened in 2024. In 2020, Joe Biden received about 81,283,501 votes, Donald Trump received about 74,223,975 votes, and other candidates received 2.9 million third-party votes for a total of 158.4 million votes. In 2024, Donald Trump received about 77,302,580 votes, about 3 million more than in 2020; Kamala Harris received about 75,017,613 votes, and third-party candidates took the remaining 2.9 million votes, the same as in 2020. This totaled 155.2 million voters in 2024. We see that Trump received roughly the same number of votes as Biden, plus 3 million, whereas the votes for Harris to Biden dropped by over 6 million. The total number of voters also dropped more than 3 million. Subtract the difference of Trump's gain, and you have the remaining 3 million to make up the 6 million voter difference.
On the one hand, we have 3 million missing voters, and another 3 million who either viewed Biden's presidency as horrendous, a strong possibility, or a large portion of Trump's extra 3 million was stolen from him in 2020, obviously subtracting any new registered voters for the 2024 election. The math doesn't lie. As sure as I was when I wrote my first article in 2021, the 2024 election solidified my theory. Joe Biden was an illegitimate president.
We were able to monitor our elections this time, but we need to remain vigilant and keep both eyes open in all elections going forward.
Sources
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